The UK government is set to announce a new target for particulate matter air pollution (PM2.5) this month. Earlier in the year the government proposed a target of 10mg per m3 by 2040. Campaigners have been calling for the deadline to be brought forward to 2030 with the aim of improving health outcomes. Today, new weight has been added to those calls with the publication of a new analysis which suggests the 2040 deadline is at odds with a legal requirement for the UK to achieve reductions in greenhouse gas emissions by 2035.
Too little ambition and coordination to meet targets
Earlier this year, research by Imperial College London, supported by Clean Air Fund, showed that the UK would achieve air quality within the World Health Organization’s interim target for PM2.5 of 10 µg/m3 (WHO-10) by 2030 across most of the UK by 2030, if current and proposed government policies related to net zero and air pollution are implemented in full.
New analysis from Ricardo Energy & Environment predicts that these same measures will decrease greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions to 58% below 1990 levels by 2030. This would still leave the UK behind track to meet its legally-binding climate commitment (a 78% reduction in GHGs from 1990 to 2035).
The UK government is currently proposing to align with WHO-10 levels by 2040. The mismatch between these PM2.5 and GHG targets suggests that air quality and climate have not been considered simultaneously. Committing to achieve WHO-10 by 2030 will set the UK on the path to realise joined-up health and climate wins from current – as well as necessary future – policies.
Potential for integrated policy in different sectors
The report highlights the effectiveness of policies and measures on road transport in simultaneously reducing carbon emissions and PM2.5 air pollution. For example, the Climate Change Committee’s balanced net zero pathway for transport would reduce GHGs (road transport GHG emissions reduced in half and total GHG emissions down by 12% by 2030) and the measures required by that pathway have also been shown to contribute significantly towards bringing PM2.5 levels below WHO-10 nationally.
The report showcases measures and policy areas that will simultaneously improve public health and drive the UK towards net zero. Baseline changes and existing national policies will drive down emissions across other key sectors by 2030, such as:
- energy production (GHGs: -46%, PM2.5: -20%)
- industry (GHGs: -18%, PM2.5: -25%)
- the extraction and distribution of fossil fuels (GHGs: – 33%, PM2.5: -60%).
City-level action can also provide win-wins for health and climate. London’s current and planned actions on domestic and commercial use of gas, oil and coal, and for waste burning will reduce PM2.5 and GHG emissions.
Achieving much healthier air is possible across the vast majority of the UK by 2030 based on policies the government already plans to implement or that have been recommended by the Committee on Climate Change. The new air quality target for the UK should therefore align with WHO-10 at a minimum, with a view to further reducing pollution beyond this in the future. It is necessary, beneficial and achievable, and will save lives and money.Jane Burston, Executive Director at the Clean Air Fund